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Tens of Thousands of Granite Staters Could Lose Medicaid Coverage Under Federal Cuts

A new report estimates that between 14,000 and 29,000 New Hampshire residents could lose Medicaid coverage under federal spending cuts — a potential crisis for the Granite State’s most vulnerable residents.

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CONCORD, N.H. — A new report is sounding a stark alarm about the consequences of federal Medicaid spending cuts for New Hampshire: between 14,000 and 29,000 Granite Staters could lose their health coverage as a series of federal policy changes take effect over the coming year.

The estimates, tied to provisions of the federal One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed into law last year, represent a potentially significant disruption to one of the most important safety net programs in the state — and a challenge that Governor Kelly Ayotte and the Republican-controlled legislature have not yet articulated a clear plan to address.

What the Federal Changes Include

The Medicaid-related provisions of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act set off a cascade of changes that will phase in throughout 2026 and 2027. The first major shift already took effect on January 1, 2026, when the enhanced Federal Medical Assistance Percentage — a provision that had covered 90 percent of costs for states that expanded Medicaid under the Affordable Care Act — was sunset. New Hampshire’s Granite Advantage Health Care Program, which has provided coverage to nearly 60,000 low-income residents, was built in part on the financial foundation that enhanced match provided.

Beginning in October 2026, Medicaid eligibility will be narrowed for certain non-U.S. citizens, further reducing the pool of people who qualify for the program nationally and in New Hampshire. And by the end of 2026, states will be required to conduct Medicaid eligibility redeterminations at least once every six months — a significant increase in administrative burden that research from other eligibility redetermination periods suggests will cause many people who remain eligible to lose coverage simply due to paperwork barriers.

Beginning in January 2027, most Medicaid recipients will be required to meet work requirements of 80 hours per month to maintain their coverage — a condition that advocates warn will knock many working people and caregivers off the rolls even when they are, in practice, engaged in activities that should qualify.

What Granite Advantage Has Meant for New Hampshire

New Hampshire’s Medicaid expansion program has been one of the state’s most consequential health policy decisions of the past decade. Since 2014, it has reduced the state’s uninsured rate by 42 percent and provided critical mental health and substance use treatment to one in every three recipients — a particularly significant benefit in a state that has lived through the opioid epidemic and continues to grapple with addiction and mental health needs.

The program has also served as an economic stabilizer for New Hampshire’s rural hospitals and community health centers, which see many of their patients through Medicaid. Reductions in Medicaid coverage translate directly into increases in uncompensated care — care that hospitals must provide regardless of whether they will be paid for it — and can threaten the financial stability of smaller facilities already operating on thin margins.

Political Tensions in Concord

New Hampshire Democratic leaders have seized on the Medicaid cuts as a central issue for the 2026 campaign, accusing Governor Ayotte of failing to push back against federal policies that will harm Granite State residents. “She still hasn’t mustered an ounce of courage to stand up against Donald Trump’s chaos,” Democratic Party Chair Ray Buckley said recently.

Ayotte’s administration has not yet released a detailed plan for how it would address a potential surge in uninsured residents if federal Medicaid funding is curtailed. The governor has spoken broadly about protecting access to health care while maintaining New Hampshire’s no-new-taxes posture — a combination that critics say cannot survive the math of a major federal funding cut.

What to Watch

The next several months will be critical for New Hampshire’s Medicaid-covered residents. Advocates are urging Granite Staters who receive coverage through Granite Advantage to keep their contact information up to date with the state, respond promptly to any redetermination notices, and reach out to local community health organizations for assistance navigating the process. Pine & Cardinal will continue tracking the federal Medicaid situation and its impact on New Hampshire families.

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Trump Education Department Opens Title IX Probe Into North Carolina School District

Federal officials are investigating whether female students’ civil rights were violated in school bathrooms and locker rooms

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The Trump administration’s Department of Education opened a civil rights investigation this month into Cabarrus County Schools after reports alleging the North Carolina district allowed males into girls-only bathrooms and locker rooms.

The Department’s Office for Civil Rights said the Title IX investigation will examine whether Cabarrus County Schools violated federal sex-discrimination protections by allowing males in girls-only intimate facilities. Federal officials alleged multiple female students reported being required to change in the presence of males and said their concerns were ignored or dismissed.

Cabarrus County Schools said it is cooperating with the investigation and remains “committed to providing a safe, respectful, and legally compliant learning environment for all students,” WBTV reported. The district said it is limited in what it can say about allegations while the Office for Civil Rights process continues.

The investigation follows months of debate over transgender students’ access to bathrooms and locker rooms, according to The Charlotte Observer. The outlet reported officials have said the district handles accommodations case by case while trying to comply with federal law and court rulings.

The district’s own nondiscrimination policy says Title IX prohibits sex-based discrimination in education programs and activities and lists compliance officials.

The probe comes as the Trump administration pushes to restore Title IX enforcement around biological sex, a sharp reversal from the Biden administration’s approach. The Education Department has not announced public findings yet, but the investigation puts Cabarrus County at the center of a national fight over privacy, civil rights and transgender student policies.

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NATIONAL

Canadian Citizen Sentenced for Illegally Voting in North Carolina Elections

Federal case renews debate over voter ID rules as key North Carolina races approach

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This week, the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Eastern District of North Carolina announced that an illegal alien was arrested for attempting to vote in this election by falsifying his proof of citizenship. 

On June 1st, 70-year-old Canadian citizen Denis Bouchard, was sentenced to two months in federal prison for falsely claiming U.S. citizenship in order to vote in North Carolina elections. Officials say that Bouchard has lived in the States since the 1960s, but never officially became a citizen, and that voting records show he unlawfully cast ballots in a total of nine federal elections between 2004 and 2024. (RELATED:North Carolina Primaries Set Key House Matchups for Midterms)

Bouchard illegally certified that he was a U.S. citizen on the North Carolina voter registration applications and ballots. pleaded guilty to two counts immigration code and faces one year of supervised release. He will also be subject to consequences from immigration and customs enforcement.


“We will not allow aliens to disrupt and degrade the U.S. democratic system by lying to pervert the outcome of our elections. Every American citizen’s vote is sacred. Allowing a single illegal vote by any ineligible person destroys and negates a citizen’s vote,” said U.S. Attorney W. Ellis Boyle.  

North Carolina is a state that already requires voter ID laws, although allows several exceptions for other means of proof of ID. If a voter can not provide a voter ID when voting, they may still cast a ballot by completing an ID exception form. This allows people to claim a multitude of exceptions behind not providing photo ID, and only certifying their identity by signing the sheet of paper. (RELATED:NC Legislature Passes Historic Education Funding Bill Targeting Rural Schools)

The North Carolina 2026 general election is currently highlighting a close race between former RNC Chairman Michael Whatley, and former NC Governor Roy Cooper, to fill GOP Senator Thom Tillis’ seat. The GOP have been projected to win 11 out of 14 of the House seats. Including flipping North Carolina’s 1st district, where GOP Candidate Laurie Buckhout has earned a rematch versus Democratic Incumbent Don Davis. 

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BREAKING NEWS

New Poll Shows NC Republican Base Will Walk Away From 2026 Senate Race If SAVE America Act Dies In The Senate

A new poll shows North Carolina Republican voters will stay home in 2026 if the Senate fails to pass the Save America Act, putting a key Senate seat at serious risk.

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North Carolina Republicans have one of the clearest paths to a Senate pickup in the entire country heading into 2026, but a new poll suggests they may be walking away from it if Senate Republicans don’t deliver on the SAVE America Act.

A McLaughlin & Associates survey of 333 likely North Carolina general election voters conducted April 6-9 paints a sobering picture: the Republican base in North Carolina is motivated, engaged, and fully prepared to stay home if the Senate fails to act on election integrity legislation that has already passed the House.

Among North Carolina Republican voters, 12.1% said they would be less likely to vote if Senate Republicans fail to pass the Save America Act. Another 12.3% said they weren’t sure whether they’d show up. North Carolina showed the highest “less likely to vote” response among general election voters of any state surveyed at 8.6% — a signal that even beyond the Republican base, the state’s electorate takes Senate inaction seriously.

Perhaps most damaging for Republican candidates: 47.6% of all North Carolina voters said they would be less likely to support a senator who voted against the SAVE America Act. That is the highest anti-opposition number of any state in the poll — and it means that in North Carolina, voting against this bill doesn’t just depress your base. It actively costs you votes across the broader electorate.

Making matters worse for North Carolina Republicans, their own senior senator is part of the problem. Sen. Thom Tillis has emerged as one of the most vocal Republican opponents of the SAVE America Act in the Senate; a position that puts him directly at odds with the 92.8% of North Carolina voters who believe only U.S. citizens should vote in federal elections and the 54.7% who want the Senate to pass the bill outright.

North Carolina is one of the most politically competitive states in the country, having voted for Donald Trump by 3.3 points in 2024 while simultaneously electing Democratic Governor Josh Stein.

The poll confirms that. 92.8% of North Carolina respondents agreed that only U.S. citizens should vote in federal elections. 71.6% said proof of citizenship should be required to register to vote. And 60% called photo ID a reasonable requirement, with only 35.2% calling it an unfair barrier.

North Carolina Republican voters are not interested in political theater. When asked whether they preferred a symbolic vote or a genuine Senate floor fight, 87.4% of Republican voters chose the real fight, including doing away with the filibuster, which democrats expressed they are likely to do the next time they are in power. Only seven percent accepted symbolic action.

North Carolina’s Republican base voted in massive numbers in 2024, helping deliver the state for Trump and electing Jeff Jackson as Attorney General by the narrowest of margins — a reminder of just how close these races run. Depressing that same base by 12% through Senate inaction on the SAVE America Act hurts Republican candidates down ballot.

(RELATED: Gov. Stein Demands Pay Raises While Doing Nothing To Break The Two-Year Legislative Stalemate He Helped Create)

(RELATED: System Failing Iryna Zarutska: Charlotte Light Rail Murder Suspect Dodges Trial On Mental Health Grounds As Family Waits For Justice)

(RELATED: Secretary Mullin Visits Chimney Rock, Announces Millions In New Flood Relief For Hurricane Helene Victims)

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